Fresh off the excitement of UFC 293 and one of the most surprising upsets in recent memory, the UFC is gearing up for another thrilling rematch. This time, it’s the highly anticipated Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2, which comes after Alexa Grasso shocked the world by submitting Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 285. This showdown is set to take place on Mexican Independence Day, making Noche UFC even more special with six Mexican fighters and a few more with Mexican heritage gracing the event. Let’s dive into the best bets for this action-packed weekend.
As always, we’ll be looking at the odds provided by our friends at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Alexa Grasso, +145
Well, well, well. Here we are again, just six months after I put all my faith in Valentina Shevchenko and witnessed Alexa Grasso pull off a stunning upset. Now, we have a rematch on our hands, and this time, I’m approaching it with a more cautious mindset.
Before UFC 285, it seemed almost certain that Shevchenko would dominate. She was the more technically skilled striker, physically imposing, and the superior grappler. However, on fight night, Grasso matched Shevchenko’s physicality, outboxed her, and eventually secured a submission victory. While Shevchenko won most of the fight, it was far from a one-sided affair. Now, they’re set for a rematch, and the winner of the first bout is the underdog? This is truly intriguing.
Shevchenko is 35 years old and has been competing for over 20 years, with over 133 fights to her name. That’s an incredible amount of combat experience, and it’s only natural that it takes a toll on the body. Unfortunately, I believe that time might have arrived for Shevchenko.
Alexa Grasso to Win by Decision, +350
Let’s be honest; there aren’t many reasonable straight bets this week, with eight out of eleven fights featuring favorites at -200 or higher. That’s why we’re doubling down on Grasso this time, as I believe this prop bet is a better option.
Grasso’s submission win in their previous encounter was no fluke, but it wasn’t a result of a dominant ground game by the champion. Shevchenko made a move, Grasso saw it coming, took her back, and finished the fight. While this was brilliantly executed, it’s not something you can count on, especially with Shevchenko being aware of the danger now. Six of Grasso’s eight UFC wins have come by decision, and that remains the most likely path to victory for her. Imagine a flyweight version of Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman 2, with Shevchenko increasingly desperate for takedowns that Grasso defends while outstriking her.
Jack Della Maddalena to Win by Decision, +300
In the co-main event, money is pouring in on JDM, which is a bit concerning. Maddalena’s last performance left much to be desired, as he narrowly defeated Bassil Hafez despite questionable fight IQ. Now, he faces the formidable Kevin Holland. Nevertheless, JDM is the better boxer, and hopefully, he’s learned from his previous fight and sticks to his strengths. However, Holland is incredibly durable, with only one stoppage loss in his career, which was due to a corner stoppage against Stephen Thompson. Jack “Hammer” Della might get the win, but don’t expect a finish.
Lupita Godinez to Win by Submission or KO/TKO/DQ, +140
This appears to be a tailor-made fight for Lupita to secure a dominant victory on Mexican Independence Day. She’s a heavy -440 favorite, and the odds for a finish are relatively low because she has only two finishes in her career. However, her opponent, Elise Reed, has a history of being finished in all three of her career losses. This matchup seems like perfect matchmaking and offers a good price for a stoppage win from Godinez.
Parlay of the Week
It’s Mexican Independence Day, and we have several Mexican fighters competing as favorites this weekend. Do I really need to explain this one? On Saturday, what could be more fun than showing your support by donning the red, green, and white and cheering for these fighters to represent their country and boost your bank account? Plus, they all seem poised for victory.
- Daniel Zellhuber, -278
- Fernando Padilla, -250
- Lupita Godinez, -440
- Edgar Chairez, -250
Combine these six bets for a parlay with +227 odds.
Parlay of the Week
Raul Rosas Jr. by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 2, +2000
Rosas Jr. is coming off a challenging performance against Christian Rodriguez in April, but here’s the thing: Rodriguez is actually a solid fighter. I’m not convinced the same can be said for Terrence Mitchell. Every time Mitchell has faced legitimate opposition, he’s struggled. The same outcome seems likely this time around.
Unfortunately, the bookmakers are favoring submission and first-round props, which don’t align with Rosas’s likely game plan. I expect Rosas to control the fight but not secure a submission in the first round. By the time round two rolls around, he’ll focus on ground-and-pound to secure the victory.
It was a mixed bag of results last week, but the most important lesson we learned is that in MMA, nobody really knows anything! Smart people can make predictions, but the sport remains unpredictable. So, when you’re betting, do so at your own risk, because in the world of MMA, it often feels like we’re throwing darts in the dark.
Until next week, enjoy the fights, good luck, and remember to gamble responsibly!
Please note that all information in this article is intended for entertainment, news, and amusement purposes only. It’s essential for readers to understand and adhere to online gambling laws in their region before placing any sports betting wagers.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about UFC Betting Preview
What is the main event of this UFC betting preview?
The main event of this UFC betting preview is the highly anticipated rematch between Alexa Grasso and Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 285.
Why is this rematch significant?
This rematch is significant because in their previous encounter, Alexa Grasso pulled off a stunning upset by submitting Valentina Shevchenko. It’s a chance to see if lightning can strike twice or if Shevchenko will reclaim her dominance.
What are the odds for Alexa Grasso winning?
Alexa Grasso is listed at +145 odds for this bout, making her the underdog in the fight despite her previous victory.
What is the recommended bet for Alexa Grasso?
The recommended bet for Alexa Grasso is to win by decision, with odds of +350. This suggests that the most likely path to victory for Grasso is a decision win, similar to six of her previous UFC victories.
Are there any other notable bets in this preview?
Yes, there are several other bets highlighted in this preview, including a parlay involving Mexican fighters for Mexican Independence Day and a unique prop bet on Raul Rosas Jr. winning by KO/TKO/DQ in Round 2 with +2000 odds.
What is the overall advice for betting on UFC matches?
The overall advice for betting on UFC matches, as mentioned in the article, is to proceed with caution and a recognition that MMA can be highly unpredictable. Betting should always be done responsibly, considering the odds and fighters’ abilities.