This Saturday marks a massive day for combat sports, featuring UFC Nashville with a catchweight headline fight between Cory Sandhagen and Rob Font, and the much-anticipated boxing bout between Jake Paul and Nate Diaz in Dallas. There’s a significant amount of action to look forward to this weekend, so let’s dive straight into the betting prospects.
As is customary, all odds are provided by our partners at DraftKings Sportsbook.
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Rob Font, +275
While Cory Sandhagen is enjoying a stellar run currently, the betting odds for this fight seem quite stretched.
Sandhagen is an exceptionally talented, well-rounded competitor with consecutive victories over top-10 fighters. However, a closer look at his track record reveals a tendency to struggle against high-volume attackers, which is precisely what Font is. Font, a key member of the New England Cartel, is one of the top boxing talents in the bantamweight category. Despite his advancing age (36), he remains a tough competitor for anyone in a striking match unless they hit back hard. While this isn’t Sandhagen’s usual approach, we can expect a prolonged kickboxing encounter, which might still favor Sandhagen due to his varied attack style, but it’s much closer than the current odds imply. A prop bet for Font By Decision at +550 also offers a tempting prospect, though few may want to place multiple bets on a single contender.
Aleksa Camur, +124
Camur, who has been inactive for two years and isn’t considered a world-class fighter, is not a safe bet. The more critical question is: Should Tanner Boser be a betting favorite against anyone at this point? Boser has had only one victory in his last five bouts and recently switched to a lower weight class in a bid to rejuvenate his career. This move didn’t work out as Ion Cutelaba brutally defeated “Bulldozer” in just over two minutes. Camur’s formidable stand-up game suggests this fight should be a toss-up, which means there’s slight value on the Strong Style contender.
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Jake Paul by Decision, +300
Jake Paul might not excel at boxing, but he’s superior to Nate Diaz. This bout doesn’t require an elaborate analysis as we’ve seen it play out four times already: Paul, who is young, strong, athletic, and genuinely committed to boxing, is facing off against an opponent with scant boxing experience and is on the downside of his career. This isn’t complex. And the odds for a decision victory for Paul are astonishing. Despite Diaz’s limitations as a fighter, he has always been tough. He’s been stopped only three times in his career, and once it was due to cuts. Paul failed to knock Anderson Silva out of the ring, and Silva is more worn out than Diaz. Paul is set to win via decision.
Billy Quarantillo to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission, +110
In UFC Nashville’s prelims, Quarantillo is set to face Damon Jackson in a featherweight clash guaranteed to be thrilling. Quarantillo’s exciting offensive style combined with his high-volume attacking should help him overcome the unpredictable Jackson. More crucially, it should be enough to finish “Action,” who has been defeated in all his five career losses.
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Parlay of the Week
Tatiana Suarez, -375
Suarez is pitted against former strawweight champion Jessica Andrade in UFC Nashville’s co-main event, and this seems to favor the undefeated prospect. Andrade is coming off consecutive losses, including a poor performance against Erin Blanchfield at 125 pounds, something Suarez could easily replicate with her takedowns and top control. This is also Andrade’s fourth fight of the year and a rather quick recovery from her defeat by Yan Xiaonan in May, so Suarez should have the upper hand.
Cory Sandhagen/Rob Font Over 2.5 Rounds, -215
As mentioned earlier, Sandhagen and Font are in for a lengthy fight on Saturday. In their combined 46 bouts, these two bantamweights have only been stopped twice. Both are incredibly resilient, technical fighters, and this bout is likely to see the championship rounds, if not go the distance.
Combine these two bets for -118 odds.
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Longshot of the Week
Kennedy Nzechukwu to Win by Submission, +900
I’m a strong supporter of Nzechukwu and view him as the dark horse in the 205-pound category right now. Nzechukwu, a massive figure, is beginning to harness his physical capabilities with technique, which makes him highly dangerous, especially for an aging veteran like Dustin Jacoby. Although Jacoby is undeniably a more established and technical kickboxer, as seen in his fight against Devin Clark in May, Nzechukwu can be dangerous from any position and is beginning to learn submission techniques. I anticipate a grappling focus from Nzechukwu to exploit Jacoby’s weak wrestling and groundwork. Once the fight goes to the ground, Nzechukwu’s long arms can surprise with sudden choke holds.
We had a great week last time and certainly loved that. This week it’s a double-feature of combat sports, so let’s aim to maintain the momentum.
Until next week, enjoy the fights, best of luck, and remember to gamble responsibly!
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) about UFC Nashville Betting Guide
Who are the key fighters in the upcoming UFC Nashville event?
The key fighters for the upcoming UFC Nashville event include Cory Sandhagen, Rob Font, Aleksa Camur, Tatiana Suarez, and Billy Quarantillo. Sandhagen and Font are headlining the event in a catchweight bout.
Who is expected to win in the boxing match between Jake Paul and Nate Diaz?
Based on this guide, Jake Paul is predicted to win against Nate Diaz. This conclusion is based on Paul’s youth, athleticism, power, and dedication to boxing, despite Diaz’s reputation for toughness.
What are some of the intriguing bets for the UFC Nashville event?
Some interesting bets include a straight bet on Rob Font at +275, a prop bet for Font By Decision at +550, and a straight bet on Aleksa Camur at +124. For prop bets, one can consider Jake Paul by Decision at +300, and Billy Quarantillo to Win by KO/TKO/DQ or Submission at +110.
What’s the longshot bet of the week for the UFC Nashville event?
The longshot bet of the week is Kennedy Nzechukwu to Win by Submission, which is at +900. Despite being a dark horse in his weight class, Nzechukwu’s growing technical prowess combined with his physical abilities makes him a dangerous contender.
What should I know about gambling responsibly?
Gambling responsibly means understanding and abiding by online gambling laws in your region before placing any sports betting wagers. It also implies betting within your means and not letting gambling interfere with your daily responsibilities or mental health.